Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.182373 0.217548 0.257081 0.304713 0.360455 0.423529 0.500212
2025-03-30 0.132268 0.177736 0.234581 0.310488 0.408765 0.531233 0.694884
2025-04-06 0.101167 0.148863 0.213494 0.306681 0.436648 0.610371 0.858821
2025-04-13 0.080759 0.128266 0.197122 0.302909 0.459713 0.681565 1.016638
2025-04-20 0.069462 0.117855 0.192171 0.312692 0.500766 0.779835 1.220898
2025-04-27 0.064410 0.115757 0.198662 0.339519 0.569203 0.924060 1.506784
2025-05-04 0.057635 0.109401 0.197039 0.352592 0.616856 1.040717 1.761769
2025-05-11 0.049214 0.098574 0.186101 0.348204 0.634722 1.111104 1.949310
2025-05-18 0.041043 0.086662 0.171306 0.334683 0.634710 1.151086 2.089444
2025-05-25 0.033991 0.075576 0.156214 0.318211 0.626858 1.175926 2.204833
2025-06-01 0.030741 0.071530 0.153746 0.324772 0.661196 1.277000 2.461858
2025-06-08 0.026192 0.063917 0.143086 0.313840 0.660976 1.315285 2.608721
2025-06-15 0.023794 0.060803 0.141542 0.321823 0.700018 1.432964 2.919346
2025-06-22 0.021415 0.057323 0.138769 0.327032 0.734481 1.546133 3.234082
2025-06-29 0.018689 0.052460 0.132159 0.322961 0.749104 1.621762 3.482889
2025-07-06 0.016367 0.048126 0.126034 0.318997 0.763241 1.697416 3.738356
2025-07-13 0.015180 0.046529 0.126117 0.329261 0.809619 1.843516 4.150460
2025-07-20 0.015043 0.047774 0.133343 0.357405 0.899338 2.088866 4.790527
2025-07-27 0.014156 0.046722 0.134598 0.371117 0.957219 2.270950 5.311618
2025-08-03 0.012541 0.043198 0.128864 0.366515 0.971270 2.358180 5.634915
2025-08-10 0.010755 0.038754 0.119922 0.352332 0.960338 2.388212 5.834274
2025-08-17 0.009107 0.034362 0.110361 0.335052 0.939480 2.393186 5.977098
2025-08-24 0.008456 0.033131 0.109676 0.341936 0.980947 2.547594 6.476514